


Bangladesh in Turmoil: Implications for the Region
Research Assistants: Malaiyandi Sundaram, Riddhi Deokar



Project Summary
**The Centre for Analytical Research and Engagements has conducted a comprehensive analysis of Bangladesh based on ACLED data.
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Understanding ACLED
The Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) is a globally recognized non-governmental organization that collects and analyses data on political violence, protests, and demonstrations around the world. Their data is crucial for researchers, policymakers, and journalists seeking to understand the dynamics of conflict and its implications.
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Why Bangladesh Now?
Bangladesh, a densely populated country in South Asia, has been experiencing increasing political unrest and social tensions. This is particularly concerning given its strategic location and its growing economic importance in the region.
This dashboard is designed to serve as a valuable resource for academics, scholars, and students. We have analysed more than 20,000 data points from 2013 to 2024 using various analytical tools to present this interactive live data. By presenting complex data in a visually appealing and easily understandable format, we aim to facilitate research, analysis, and a deeper understanding of the conflict dynamics in Bangladesh.
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Implications for Southeast Asia
The instability in Bangladesh has significant implications for Southeast Asia. The country shares a maritime boundary with Myanmar and India, two countries that have also faced political and security challenges. Moreover, Bangladesh is a major player in the regional trade network, with the Malacca Strait, a vital shipping route, passing close to its southern coast. The Malacca Strait is a crucial artery for global trade, carrying billions of dollars’ worth of goods each year. Any disruption to the flow of goods through this strait would have far-reaching economic consequences for Southeast Asia and beyond. Coco Island, a strategic island located in the Andaman Sea, is another factor to consider. While it may seem remote, its proximity to Bangladesh and other Southeast Asian countries makes it a potential flashpoint for regional tensions.
Key Findings
One of the key findings is a recurring pattern of increased political violence and protests in the lead-up to and aftermath of elections. This pattern was observed in the 2014, 2018, and 2024 elections.
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Conclusion
Bangladesh is at a critical juncture. The increasing political instability and social tensions pose a significant threat to regional stability and economic prosperity. The implications for Southeast Asia, particularly in terms of trade and security, are far-reaching. It is imperative for regional stakeholders to closely monitor developments in Bangladesh and to work towards promoting peace, stability, and cooperation.